The outcome of the 2024 U.S. election is significant for Kenya as it influences key areas including foreign aid, trade, security, and environmental policy in East Africa. Both Democratic and Republican candidates are addressing foreign policy differently, with each approach potentially impacting Africa. While the U.S. presidential race doesn’t usually focus on Africa directly, policy shifts after elections do influence relations across the continent.
For Kenya, U.S. foreign aid and military support are particularly relevant. Kenya receives substantial assistance for counter-terrorism, especially to combat the Al-Shabaab threat from Somalia. Both major U.S. political parties recognize the strategic importance of Kenya’s role in regional stability, but changes in funding or military engagement policies could reshape support levels. Under a Harris administration, this aid is likely to remain steady with an emphasis on diplomacy and multilateral cooperation. In contrast, a Trump administration might adopt a more selective approach to foreign assistance, potentially redirecting resources based on direct American interests
Trade policies are another major concern. Kenya’s recent negotiations with the U.S. for a free trade agreement highlight the growing economic ties. The U.S. election outcome could alter this trade partnership: Democrats may prioritize fair trade and labor standards, impacting Kenyan exports, while Republicans might focus on reducing trade barriers, potentially benefiting Kenyan industries like agriculture and textiles.
Environmental policies in the U.S. also affect Kenya, especially regarding climate initiatives. Kenya is vulnerable to climate change, experiencing extreme weather conditions that impact agriculture and water resources. The U.S. under a Democratic administration might lead global climate action, supporting Kenya in sustainability efforts. Conversely, a Republican stance may deprioritize climate funding, slowing support for Kenya’s climate adaptation projects
Ultimately, Kenya and other African nations are watching the U.S. election closely, as its results could reshape both direct support and broader policy frameworks that impact Kenya’s security, economy, and development priorities.